The model estimates 1.97 goals for Tamworth and 1.25 for Hartlepool. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Tamworth and 6 for Hartlepool, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Tamworth · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Tamworth is going head to head with Hartlepool on December 19, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of England National League — Round 23.
Tamworth take on Hartlepool in the England National League on 19 December 2026 at 19:45.
Tamworth are currently placed 18th in the table with 17 points, while Hartlepool occupy 20th position with 15 points.
Tamworth come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hartlepool have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Tamworth have 2 wins against Hartlepool, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Tamworth to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.22. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 63%.




In their last 6 matches, Tamworth have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Tamworth have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Tamworth have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Hartlepool have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Hartlepool have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hartlepool's last 6 matches.