The model estimates 1.33 goals for Hamburger SV and 2.17 for RB Leipzig. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hamburger SV and 6 for RB Leipzig, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: RB Leipzig · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hamburger SV is going head to head with RB Leipzig on February 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 20.
Hamburger SV take on RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 6 February 2027 at 00:00.
Hamburger SV are currently placed 12th in the table with 9 points, while RB Leipzig occupy 5th position with 12 points.
Hamburger SV come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas RB Leipzig have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, RB Leipzig have 7 wins against Hamburger SV, with 1 draw.
Prediction: RB Leipzig to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.50. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 66%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hamburger SV's last 6 matches.
Hamburger SV concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Hamburger SV have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of RB Leipzig's last 6 matches.
RB Leipzig have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
RB Leipzig have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.