The model estimates 1.78 goals for Hajduk Split and 1.07 for Rijeka. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hajduk Split and 6 for Rijeka, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hajduk Split · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hajduk Split is going head to head with Rijeka on December 12, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of HNL — Round 17.
Hajduk Split take on Rijeka in the HNL on 12 December 2026 at 19:00.
Hajduk Split are currently placed 1st in the table with 23 points, while Rijeka occupy 5th position with 17 points.
Hajduk Split come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rijeka have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 107 recorded meetings, Rijeka have 45 wins against Hajduk Split, with 28 draws.
Prediction: Hajduk Split to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.85. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 56%.




In their last 6 matches, Hajduk Split have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Hajduk Split have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hajduk Split's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Rijeka's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Rijeka's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rijeka have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.