The model estimates 1.07 goals for Varazdin and 1.28 for Hajduk Split. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Varazdin and 6 for Hajduk Split, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Varazdin · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Varazdin is going head to head with Hajduk Split on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of HNL — Round 19.
Varazdin take on Hajduk Split in the HNL on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Varazdin are currently placed 3rd in the table with 18 points, while Hajduk Split occupy 1st position with 22 points.
Varazdin come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hajduk Split have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Varazdin have 1 win against Hajduk Split.
Prediction: Hajduk Split to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.35. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 49%.




Varazdin have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Varazdin have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Varazdin's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Hajduk Split have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Hajduk Split have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Hajduk Split have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.