The model estimates 1.38 goals for Guarnizo and 1.69 for UD Sámano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Guarnizo and 6 for UD Sámano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: UD Sámano · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Guarnizo is going head to head with UD Sámano on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 3 — Round 20.
Guarnizo take on UD Sámano in the Spain Tercera Division Group 3 on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
Guarnizo are currently placed 11th in the table with 8 points, while UD Sámano occupy 7th position with 13 points.
Guarnizo come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas UD Sámano have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 17 recorded meetings, UD Sámano have 10 wins against Guarnizo, with 4 draws.
Prediction: UD Sámano to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.07. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 62%.


Both teams have scored in 5 of Guarnizo's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Guarnizo have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Guarnizo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
UD Sámano are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, UD Sámano have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of UD Sámano's last 6 matches.