The model estimates 1.03 goals for Velarde and 1.58 for Guarnizo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Velarde and 6 for Guarnizo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Guarnizo · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Velarde is going head to head with Guarnizo on February 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 3 — Round 21.
Velarde take on Guarnizo in the Spain Tercera Division Group 3 on 7 February 2027 at 00:00.
Velarde are currently placed 17th in the table with 5 points, while Guarnizo occupy 11th position with 8 points.
Velarde come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Guarnizo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Guarnizo have 5 wins against Velarde, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Guarnizo to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.62. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 53%.
Velarde have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Velarde have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Velarde have lost by 2+ goals in 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Guarnizo's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Guarnizo have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Guarnizo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.