The model estimates 0.86 goals for Velarde and 1.90 for UD Sámano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Velarde and 6 for UD Sámano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: UD Sámano · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Velarde is going head to head with UD Sámano on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 3 — Round 23.
Velarde take on UD Sámano in the Spain Tercera Division Group 3 on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Velarde are currently placed 17th in the table with 5 points, while UD Sámano occupy 7th position with 13 points.
Velarde come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas UD Sámano have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, UD Sámano have 4 wins against Velarde, with 1 draw.
Prediction: UD Sámano to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.77. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 50%.


Velarde have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Velarde have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Velarde have lost by 2+ goals in 4 of their last 6 matches.
UD Sámano are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, UD Sámano have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of UD Sámano's last 6 matches.