The model estimates 2.42 goals for Excelsior and 1.27 for Willem II. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Excelsior and 6 for Willem II, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Excelsior · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Excelsior is going head to head with Willem II on April 25, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 30.
Excelsior take on Willem II in the Eredivisie on 25 April 2027 at 00:00.
Excelsior are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Willem II occupy 18th position with 2 points.
Excelsior come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Willem II have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Excelsior have 1 win against Willem II.
Prediction: Excelsior to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.69. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 66%.
EXCWILEXCWILEXCWILEXCWILEXCWILEXCWILEXCWILEXCWILEXCWILExcelsior have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Willem II have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Willem II have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Willem II's last 6 matches.
