The model estimates 2.05 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.20 for Crewe Alexandra. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Grimsby Town and 6 for Crewe Alexandra, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Grimsby Town · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Grimsby Town is going head to head with Crewe Alexandra on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 45.
Grimsby Town take on Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Grimsby Town are currently placed 10th in the table with 17 points, while Crewe Alexandra occupy 4th position with 21 points.
Grimsby Town come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Crewe Alexandra have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 27 recorded meetings, Crewe Alexandra have 14 wins against Grimsby Town, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Grimsby Town to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.25. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 62%.




Grimsby Town have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Grimsby Town have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Grimsby Town's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Crewe Alexandra have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 matches.