The model estimates 1.54 goals for Newport County and 1.07 for Gillingham. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Newport County and 6 for Gillingham, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Newport County · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Newport County is going head to head with Gillingham on April 27, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 44.
Newport County take on Gillingham in the League Two on 27 April 2027 at 00:00.
Newport County are currently placed 15th in the table with 15 points, while Gillingham occupy 11th position with 17 points.
Newport County come into this match with 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gillingham have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Newport County have 6 wins against Gillingham, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Newport County to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.62. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, Newport County have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Newport County have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Newport County's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Gillingham's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gillingham have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Gillingham have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.