The model estimates 1.55 goals for GD Alcochetense and 1.19 for Lagoa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for GD Alcochetense and 6 for Lagoa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: GD Alcochetense · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
GD Alcochetense is going head to head with Lagoa on December 20, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 12.
GD Alcochetense take on Lagoa in the Campeonato de Portugal on 20 December 2026 at 18:00.
GD Alcochetense are currently placed 23rd in the table with 8 points, while Lagoa occupy 34th position with 6 points.
GD Alcochetense come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lagoa have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, GD Alcochetense have 2 wins against Lagoa.
Prediction: GD Alcochetense to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.74. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 56%.




In their last 6 matches, GD Alcochetense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
GD Alcochetense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of GD Alcochetense's last 6 matches.
Lagoa have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Lagoa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lagoa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.