The model estimates 0.82 goals for Gateshead and 2.08 for Carlisle. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Gateshead and 6 for Carlisle, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Carlisle · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Gateshead is going head to head with Carlisle on December 26, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 24.
Gateshead take on Carlisle in the England National League on 26 December 2026 at 18:00.
Gateshead are currently placed 24th in the table with 4 points, while Carlisle occupy 9th position with 23 points.
Gateshead come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Carlisle have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Carlisle have 1 win against Gateshead, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Carlisle to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.90. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 50%.




Gateshead have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Gateshead have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Gateshead's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Carlisle have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Carlisle have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Carlisle's last 6 matches.