The model estimates 1.30 goals for Schalke and 1.29 for Freiburg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Schalke and 6 for Freiburg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Schalke · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Schalke is going head to head with Freiburg on February 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 22.
Schalke take on Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 20 February 2027 at 00:00.
Schalke are currently placed 16th in the table with 6 points, while Freiburg occupy 3rd position with 13 points.
Schalke come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Freiburg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Freiburg have 1 win against Schalke.
Prediction: Schalke to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.59. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 54%.




Schalke have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Schalke have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Schalke's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Freiburg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.