The model estimates 0.82 goals for Paderborn and 1.15 for Borussia Dortmund. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Paderborn and 6 for Borussia Dortmund, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Borussia Dortmund · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Paderborn is going head to head with Borussia Dortmund on February 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 20.
Paderborn take on Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 6 February 2027 at 00:00.
Paderborn are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Borussia Dortmund occupy 2nd position with 15 points.
Paderborn come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Borussia Dortmund have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Borussia Dortmund have 4 wins against Paderborn, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 1.97. Over 2.5: 32%. BTTS: 40%.




In their last 6 matches, Paderborn have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Borussia Dortmund have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Borussia Dortmund have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Borussia Dortmund's last 6 matches.