The model estimates 1.47 goals for Hamburger SV and 2.19 for Freiburg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hamburger SV and 6 for Freiburg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Freiburg · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hamburger SV is going head to head with Freiburg on May 15, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 33.
Hamburger SV take on Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 15 May 2027 at 00:00.
Hamburger SV are currently placed 12th in the table with 9 points, while Freiburg occupy 3rd position with 13 points.
Hamburger SV come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Freiburg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 41 recorded meetings, Hamburger SV have 16 wins against Freiburg, with 14 draws.
Prediction: Freiburg to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.66. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 69%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hamburger SV's last 6 matches.
Hamburger SV concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Hamburger SV have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Freiburg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.