The model estimates 0.75 goals for Forli and 1.78 for Spezia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Forli and 6 for Spezia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Spezia · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Forli is going head to head with Spezia on December 06, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 17.
Forli take on Spezia in the Italy Serie C on 6 December 2026 at 20:00.
Forli are currently placed 40th in the table with 12 points, while Spezia occupy 1st position with 29 points.
Forli come into this match with 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Spezia have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Spezia to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.53. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 45%.




Forli have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Forli's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Forli have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Spezia are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Spezia have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Spezia have won 5 of their last 6 matches.