The model estimates 1.37 goals for Folgore Caratese and 1.15 for Novara. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Folgore Caratese and 6 for Novara, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Folgore Caratese · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Folgore Caratese is going head to head with Novara on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 21.
Folgore Caratese take on Novara in the Italy Serie C on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Folgore Caratese are currently placed 55th in the table with 7 points, while Novara occupy 49th position with 10 points.
Folgore Caratese come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Novara have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Folgore Caratese have yet to beat Novara, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Folgore Caratese to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.52. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 53%.
FOLNOVFOLNOVFOLNOVFOLNOVFOLNOVFOLNOVFOLNOVFOLNOVFOLNOVFolgore Caratese have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Folgore Caratese's last 6 matches.
Folgore Caratese concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Novara have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Novara have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Novara concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
