The model estimates 0.72 goals for Florgrade and 1.33 for Machico. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Florgrade and 6 for Machico, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Draw · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Florgrade is going head to head with Machico on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 18.
Florgrade take on Machico in the Campeonato de Portugal on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Florgrade are currently placed 15th in the table with 10 points, while Machico occupy 4th position with 13 points.
Florgrade come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Machico have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Machico have 1 win against Florgrade.
Prediction: Machico to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.05. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 39%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Florgrade's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Florgrade have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Florgrade have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Machico are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Machico have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Machico have won 5 of their last 6 matches.