The model estimates 1.08 goals for Felgueiras and 1.01 for CD Tondela. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Felgueiras and 6 for CD Tondela, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Felgueiras · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Felgueiras is going head to head with CD Tondela on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 26.
Felgueiras take on CD Tondela in the Liga Portugal 2 on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
Felgueiras are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while CD Tondela occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Felgueiras come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas CD Tondela have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Felgueiras have 1 win against CD Tondela, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Felgueiras to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.09. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 44%.




Felgueiras have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Felgueiras's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Felgueiras have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of CD Tondela's last 6 matches.
CD Tondela have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
CD Tondela have won only 1 of their last 6 away matches.