The model estimates 1.49 goals for CD Tondela and 1.08 for Chaves. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for CD Tondela and 6 for Chaves, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CD Tondela · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
CD Tondela is going head to head with Chaves on April 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga Portugal 2 — Round 29.
CD Tondela take on Chaves in the Liga Portugal 2 on 11 April 2027 at 00:00.
CD Tondela are currently placed 8th in the table with 12 points, while Chaves occupy 14th position with 8 points.
CD Tondela come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chaves have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: CD Tondela to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.57. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 53%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of CD Tondela's last 6 matches.
CD Tondela have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, CD Tondela have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Chaves have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chaves have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chaves's last 6 matches.