The model estimates 1.70 goals for Purmersteijn and 1.71 for Excelsior '31. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Purmersteijn and 6 for Excelsior '31, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Excelsior '31 · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Purmersteijn is going head to head with Excelsior '31 on February 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 22.
Purmersteijn take on Excelsior '31 in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 13 February 2027 at 00:00.
Purmersteijn are currently placed 14th in the table with 18 points, while Excelsior '31 occupy 8th position with 22 points.
Purmersteijn come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Excelsior '31 have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Purmersteijn have yet to beat Excelsior '31, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Purmersteijn to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.41. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 68%.




In their last 6 matches, Purmersteijn have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Purmersteijn's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Purmersteijn's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior '31's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Excelsior '31 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Excelsior '31 have won 4 of their last 6 matches.