The model estimates 0.69 goals for Estrela Calheta and 1.81 for Machico. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Estrela Calheta and 6 for Machico, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Machico · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Estrela Calheta is going head to head with Machico on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 14.
Estrela Calheta take on Machico in the Campeonato de Portugal on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Estrela Calheta are currently placed 45th in the table with 5 points, while Machico occupy 4th position with 13 points.
Estrela Calheta come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Machico have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Estrela Calheta have yet to beat Machico, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Machico to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.50. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 43%.
ESTMACESTMACESTMACESTMACESTMACESTMACESTMACESTMACESTMACEstrela Calheta have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Calheta's last 6 matches.
Estrela Calheta concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Machico are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Machico have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Machico have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
