The model estimates 1.58 goals for Cinfaes and 1.11 for Estrela Calheta. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Cinfaes and 6 for Estrela Calheta, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Cinfaes · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Cinfaes is going head to head with Estrela Calheta on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 15.
Cinfaes take on Estrela Calheta in the Campeonato de Portugal on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Cinfaes are currently placed 35th in the table with 6 points, while Estrela Calheta occupy 45th position with 5 points.
Cinfaes come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Estrela Calheta have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Cinfaes have yet to beat Estrela Calheta, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Cinfaes to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.69. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 55%.




Cinfaes have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Cinfaes have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Cinfaes's last 6 matches.
Estrela Calheta have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Calheta's last 6 matches.
Estrela Calheta concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.