The model estimates 0.80 goals for Erandio and 1.41 for San Ignacio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Erandio and 6 for San Ignacio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: San Ignacio · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Erandio is going head to head with San Ignacio on November 15, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 11.
Erandio take on San Ignacio in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 15 November 2026 at 20:00.
Erandio are currently placed 16th in the table with 6 points, while San Ignacio occupy 5th position with 14 points.
Erandio come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas San Ignacio have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: San Ignacio to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.20. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 43%.
Erandio have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Erandio have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Erandio's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, San Ignacio have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
San Ignacio have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of San Ignacio's last 6 matches.
