The model estimates 1.43 goals for Erandio and 1.10 for Pasaia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Erandio and 6 for Pasaia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Erandio · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Erandio is going head to head with Pasaia on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 18.
Erandio take on Pasaia in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Erandio are currently placed 16th in the table with 6 points, while Pasaia occupy 13th position with 10 points.
Erandio come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Pasaia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Erandio have 2 wins against Pasaia.
Prediction: Erandio to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.52. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 52%.
Erandio have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Erandio have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Erandio's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Pasaia's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Pasaia's last 6 matches.
Pasaia have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.