The model estimates 1.72 goals for Elche and 1.13 for Alaves. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Elche and 6 for Alaves, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Elche · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Elche is going head to head with Alaves on April 04, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 30.
Elche take on Alaves in the LaLiga on 4 April 2027 at 00:00.
Elche are currently placed 14th in the table with 10 points, while Alaves occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Elche come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alaves have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Alaves have 1 win against Elche, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Elche to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.85. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 57%.




In their last 6 matches, Elche have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Elche have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Elche have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Alaves have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Alaves have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alaves's last 6 matches.