The model estimates 1.34 goals for Eibar C and 1.36 for Derio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Eibar C and 6 for Derio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derio · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Eibar C is going head to head with Derio on November 15, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 11.
Eibar C take on Derio in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 15 November 2026 at 20:00.
Eibar C are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Derio occupy 3rd position with 15 points.
Eibar C come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derio have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Eibar C have 1 win against Derio, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Eibar C to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.70. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 56%.


There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Eibar C's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Eibar C's last 6 matches.
Eibar C score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Derio have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Derio have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derio's last 6 matches.