The model estimates 1.65 goals for Derio and 1.30 for Alaves C. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derio and 6 for Alaves C, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derio · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derio is going head to head with Alaves C on December 06, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 14.
Derio take on Alaves C in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 6 December 2026 at 20:00.
Derio are currently placed 3rd in the table with 15 points, while Alaves C occupy 4th position with 14 points.
Derio come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alaves C have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Derio have 2 wins against Alaves C, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Derio to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.95. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 60%.


In their last 6 matches, Derio have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Derio have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derio's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Alaves C's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Alaves C's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alaves C have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.