The model estimates 0.82 goals for Desenzano and 1.04 for Pergolettese. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Desenzano and 6 for Pergolettese, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Pergolettese · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Desenzano is going head to head with Pergolettese on April 18, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 37.
Desenzano take on Pergolettese in the Italy Serie C on 18 April 2027 at 00:00.
Desenzano are currently placed 38th in the table with 13 points, while Pergolettese occupy 22nd position with 17 points.
Desenzano come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Pergolettese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Desenzano have 1 win against Pergolettese.
Prediction: Desenzano and Pergolettese to draw with probability 35%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.87. Over 2.5: 29%. BTTS: 38%.




In their last 6 matches, Desenzano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Desenzano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Desenzano have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Pergolettese are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Pergolettese have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Pergolettese's last 6 matches.