The model estimates 1.64 goals for Cittadella and 0.66 for Desenzano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Cittadella and 6 for Desenzano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Cittadella · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Cittadella is going head to head with Desenzano on April 25, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Italy Serie C — Round 38.
Cittadella take on Desenzano in the Italy Serie C on 25 April 2027 at 00:00.
Cittadella are currently placed 2nd in the table with 27 points, while Desenzano occupy 38th position with 13 points.
Cittadella come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Desenzano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Cittadella to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.30. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 40%.




In their last 6 matches, Cittadella have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Cittadella have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Cittadella have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Desenzano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Desenzano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Desenzano have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.