The model estimates 1.16 goals for Derby and 2.11 for West Ham. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derby and 6 for West Ham, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: West Ham · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derby is going head to head with West Ham on April 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 42.
Derby take on West Ham in the Championship on 10 April 2027 at 00:00.
Derby are currently placed 23rd in the table with 7 points, while West Ham occupy 4th position with 22 points.
Derby come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas West Ham have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, West Ham have 1 win against Derby.
Prediction: West Ham to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.26. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 61%.




Derby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, West Ham have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
West Ham have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of West Ham's last 6 matches.