European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 1.11 goals for Derby and 1.57 for Millwall. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derby and 6 for Millwall, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Millwall · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derby is going head to head with Millwall on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 27.
Derby take on Millwall in the Championship on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Derby are currently placed 23rd in the table with 7 points, while Millwall occupy 13th position with 15 points.
Derby come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Millwall have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Millwall to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.68. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 55%.
DERMILDERMILDERMILDERMILDERMILDERMILDERMILDERMILDERMILDerby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.
Millwall have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Millwall have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Millwall's last 6 matches.
