The model estimates 1.12 goals for Dep. Fabril and 1.68 for Lugo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Dep. Fabril and 6 for Lugo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lugo · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Dep. Fabril is going head to head with Lugo on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 26.
Dep. Fabril take on Lugo in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
Dep. Fabril are currently placed 33rd in the table with 8 points, while Lugo occupy 1st position with 22 points.
Dep. Fabril come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lugo have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Lugo have 1 win against Dep. Fabril.
Prediction: Lugo to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.80. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 56%.




Dep. Fabril have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Dep. Fabril have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Dep. Fabril's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lugo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Lugo have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Lugo's last 6 matches.