The model estimates 1.38 goals for AD Merida and 1.64 for Lugo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AD Merida and 6 for Lugo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lugo · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AD Merida is going head to head with Lugo on March 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 29.
AD Merida take on Lugo in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 21 March 2027 at 00:00.
AD Merida are currently placed 17th in the table with 13 points, while Lugo occupy 1st position with 22 points.
AD Merida come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lugo have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lugo to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.02. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 62%.
AD LUGAD LUGAD LUGAD LUGAD LUGAD LUGAD LUGAD LUGAD LUGIn their last 6 matches, AD Merida have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AD Merida have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
AD Merida score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lugo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Lugo have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Lugo's last 6 matches.
