The model estimates 1.59 goals for Dep. Fabril and 1.41 for AD Merida. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Dep. Fabril and 6 for AD Merida, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Dep. Fabril · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Dep. Fabril is going head to head with AD Merida on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 20.
Dep. Fabril take on AD Merida in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Dep. Fabril are currently placed 33rd in the table with 8 points, while AD Merida occupy 17th position with 13 points.
Dep. Fabril come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AD Merida have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, AD Merida have 1 win against Dep. Fabril.
Prediction: Dep. Fabril to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.01. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 62%.




Dep. Fabril have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Dep. Fabril have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Dep. Fabril's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AD Merida have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AD Merida have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
AD Merida score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.