The model estimates 1.58 goals for Ath Bilbao B and 1.19 for AD Merida. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ath Bilbao B and 6 for AD Merida, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ath Bilbao B · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ath Bilbao B is going head to head with AD Merida on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 22.
Ath Bilbao B take on AD Merida in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
Ath Bilbao B are currently placed 21st in the table with 12 points, while AD Merida occupy 17th position with 13 points.
Ath Bilbao B come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AD Merida have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Ath Bilbao B have 1 win against AD Merida, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Ath Bilbao B to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.77. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 57%.




Ath Bilbao B have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Ath Bilbao B's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Ath Bilbao B's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AD Merida have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AD Merida have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
AD Merida score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.