The model estimates 1.82 goals for Coventry City and 2.05 for Aston Villa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Coventry City and 6 for Aston Villa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aston Villa · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Coventry City is going head to head with Aston Villa on December 13, 2026 at 16:30. This match is part of Premier League — Round 15.
Coventry City take on Aston Villa in the Premier League on 13 December 2026 at 16:30.
Coventry City are currently placed 17th in the table with 9 points, while Aston Villa occupy 10th position with 13 points.
Coventry City come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aston Villa have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 50 recorded meetings, Aston Villa have 28 wins against Coventry City, with 15 draws.
Prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.86. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 74%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Coventry City's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Coventry City's last 6 matches.
Coventry City score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Aston Villa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.