The model estimates 1.16 goals for Aston Villa and 1.03 for Leeds United. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aston Villa and 6 for Leeds United, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aston Villa · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aston Villa is going head to head with Leeds United on December 26, 2026 at 12:30. This match is part of Premier League — Round 17.
Aston Villa take on Leeds United in the Premier League on 26 December 2026 at 12:30.
Aston Villa are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Leeds United occupy 7th position with 11 points.
Aston Villa come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Leeds United have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 93 recorded meetings, Aston Villa have 32 wins against Leeds United, with 32 draws.
Prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.19. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 46%.
ASTLEEASTLEEASTLEEASTLEEASTLEEASTLEEASTLEEASTLEEASTLEEThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
Leeds United have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leeds United have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Leeds United's last 6 matches.
