The model estimates 2.10 goals for Hereford and 0.87 for Darlington. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hereford and 6 for Darlington, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hereford · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hereford is going head to head with Darlington on November 21, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 17.
Hereford take on Darlington in the England National League North on 21 November 2026 at 15:00.
Hereford are currently placed 2nd in the table with 26 points, while Darlington occupy 22nd position with 11 points.
Hereford come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Darlington have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 30 recorded meetings, Darlington have 13 wins against Hereford, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Hereford to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.97. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 52%.




Hereford have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Hereford score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Hereford have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Darlington have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Darlington have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Darlington's last 6 away matches.