The model estimates 2.29 goals for Chorley and 2.36 for Buxton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chorley and 6 for Buxton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Buxton · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chorley is going head to head with Buxton on November 14, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England Fa Trophy — 1/64-finals.
Chorley take on Buxton in the England Fa Trophy on 14 November 2026 at 15:00.
Chorley come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Buxton have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Buxton have 5 wins against Chorley, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Chorley to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.65. Over 2.5: 84%. BTTS: 82%.
CHOBUXCHOBUXCHOBUXCHOBUXCHOBUXCHOBUXCHOBUXCHOBUXCHOBUXChorley have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Chorley's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Chorley have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Buxton have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Buxton's last 6 matches.
Buxton score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
