The model estimates 1.65 goals for Chesterfield and 1.20 for Accrington Stanley. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chesterfield and 6 for Accrington Stanley, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chesterfield · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chesterfield is going head to head with Accrington Stanley on January 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 24.
Chesterfield take on Accrington Stanley in the League Two on 9 January 2027 at 00:00.
Chesterfield are currently placed 7th in the table with 19 points, while Accrington Stanley occupy 9th position with 18 points.
Chesterfield come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Accrington Stanley have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 19 recorded meetings, Accrington Stanley have 9 wins against Chesterfield, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Chesterfield to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.85. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 58%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Chesterfield's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chesterfield have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chesterfield have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Accrington Stanley are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Accrington Stanley have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 matches.