The model estimates 2.23 goals for Accrington Stanley and 0.98 for Rochdale. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Accrington Stanley and 6 for Rochdale, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Accrington Stanley · 60%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Accrington Stanley is going head to head with Rochdale on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 27.
Accrington Stanley take on Rochdale in the League Two on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Accrington Stanley are currently placed 9th in the table with 18 points, while Rochdale occupy 17th position with 15 points.
Accrington Stanley come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rochdale have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Rochdale have 14 wins against Accrington Stanley, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Accrington Stanley to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.21. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 57%.




Accrington Stanley are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Accrington Stanley have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 matches.
Rochdale have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Rochdale's last 6 matches.
Rochdale concede an average of 2.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.