The model estimates 1.48 goals for Chesterfield and 0.72 for Port Vale. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chesterfield and 6 for Port Vale, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chesterfield · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chesterfield is going head to head with Port Vale on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 25.
Chesterfield take on Port Vale in the League Two on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Chesterfield are currently placed 7th in the table with 19 points, while Port Vale occupy 23rd position with 12 points.
Chesterfield come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Port Vale have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 36 recorded meetings, Chesterfield have 16 wins against Port Vale, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Chesterfield to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.20. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 41%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Chesterfield's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chesterfield have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chesterfield have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Port Vale have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Port Vale's last 6 matches.
Port Vale have won 4 of their last 6 matches.