The model estimates 0.95 goals for Chester and 1.22 for Oxford City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chester and 6 for Oxford City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Oxford City · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chester is going head to head with Oxford City on December 05, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England National League North — Round 20.
Chester take on Oxford City in the England National League North on 5 December 2026 at 15:00.
Chester are currently placed 5th in the table with 23 points, while Oxford City occupy 1st position with 27 points.
Chester come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Oxford City have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Chester have 5 wins against Oxford City, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Oxford City to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.17. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 45%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Chester's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Chester's last 6 matches.
Chester have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Oxford City have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Oxford City have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Oxford City have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.