The model estimates 1.66 goals for Chester and 1.13 for Chorley. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chester and 6 for Chorley, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chester · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chester is going head to head with Chorley on December 08, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of England National League North — Round 21.
Chester take on Chorley in the England National League North on 8 December 2026 at 19:45.
Chester are currently placed 5th in the table with 23 points, while Chorley occupy 11th position with 20 points.
Chester come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chorley have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 14 recorded meetings, Chorley have 5 wins against Chester, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Chester to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.78. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 56%.
CHECHOCHECHOCHECHOCHECHOCHECHOCHECHOCHECHOCHECHOCHECHOThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Chester's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Chester's last 6 matches.
Chester have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chorley have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Chorley's last 6 matches.
