The model estimates 1.31 goals for Chesham and 1.76 for Hemel Hempstead. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chesham and 6 for Hemel Hempstead, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hemel Hempstead · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chesham is going head to head with Hemel Hempstead on March 29, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League South — Round 42.
Chesham take on Hemel Hempstead in the England National League South on 29 March 2027 at 00:00.
Chesham are currently placed 21st in the table with 10 points, while Hemel Hempstead occupy 18th position with 15 points.
Chesham come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hemel Hempstead have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Chesham have 3 wins against Hemel Hempstead.
Prediction: Hemel Hempstead to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.07. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 62%.




Chesham have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Chesham have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Chesham have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
Hemel Hempstead have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Hemel Hempstead concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Hemel Hempstead have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.