The model estimates 1.28 goals for Hemel Hempstead and 1.04 for Dover. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hemel Hempstead and 6 for Dover, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hemel Hempstead · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hemel Hempstead is going head to head with Dover on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League South — Round 45.
Hemel Hempstead take on Dover in the England National League South on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Hemel Hempstead are currently placed 18th in the table with 15 points, while Dover occupy 11th position with 19 points.
Hemel Hempstead come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Dover have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Dover have 2 wins against Hemel Hempstead, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Hemel Hempstead to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.32. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 48%.




Hemel Hempstead have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Hemel Hempstead concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Hemel Hempstead's last 6 home matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Dover's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Dover have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Dover have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.