The model estimates 1.20 goals for Chesham and 3.17 for Tonbridge. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chesham and 6 for Tonbridge, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Tonbridge · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chesham is going head to head with Tonbridge on April 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of England National League South — Round 44.
Chesham take on Tonbridge in the England National League South on 10 April 2027 at 00:00.
Chesham are currently placed 21st in the table with 10 points, while Tonbridge occupy 6th position with 24 points.
Chesham come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Tonbridge have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Tonbridge have 2 wins against Chesham, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Tonbridge to win with probability 65%. Most likely scoreline: 1-3. Avg goals: 4.38. Over 2.5: 81%. BTTS: 68%.




Chesham have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Chesham have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Chesham have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Tonbridge have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Tonbridge's last 6 matches.
Tonbridge have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.