The model estimates 2.29 goals for Chelsea and 1.13 for Everton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chelsea and 6 for Everton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chelsea · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chelsea is going head to head with Everton on May 15, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 36.
Chelsea take on Everton in the Premier League on 15 May 2027 at 00:00.
Chelsea are currently placed 5th in the table with 13 points, while Everton occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Chelsea come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Everton have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 186 recorded meetings, Chelsea have 73 wins against Everton, with 56 draws.
Prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.42. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 62%.




In their last 6 matches, Chelsea have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chelsea have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Chelsea score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Everton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Everton have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Everton concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.