The model estimates 0.73 goals for Everton and 1.37 for Arsenal. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Everton and 6 for Arsenal, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arsenal · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Everton is going head to head with Arsenal on May 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 37.
Everton take on Arsenal in the Premier League on 23 May 2027 at 00:00.
Everton are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Arsenal occupy 2nd position with 21 points.
Everton come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arsenal have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 214 recorded meetings, Arsenal have 108 wins against Everton, with 45 draws.
Prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.10. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 40%.




Everton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Everton have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Everton concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Arsenal have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arsenal have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Arsenal's last 6 matches.